Today's death figures look good - from the point of view of a statistician.
UK first started to deviate from the Italy curve (Italy+14) 4 days ago. Now it is looking like a genuine thing, rather than random noise.
These are significantly lower than would have been expected from an exponential curve. Why? We can only speculate at the moment. However:
Average time from infection to death ~18 days (reference lost, sorry)
What were you doing 18 days ago? Most likely taking significant care. 1/2
The independent social network for Wales | Y rhwydwaith gymdeithasol annibynnol i Gymru. Tŵt is the social media network that puts YOU in charge. No data mining, no silly ads. Your Wales, your voice, join today! Tŵt yw’r rhwydwaith gymdeithasol sy’n rhoi rheolaeth i TI. Dim cloddio data, dim hysbysebion twp. Dy Gymru, dy lais, ymuna heddiw!