Chewing through some NYC numbers, something for @AngharadHafod to compare notes
@jaz Interesting. It looks promising on the surface. Deaths will lag behind ICU and hospital admissions (those that die were admitted earlier). So if this isn't a weekend effect, you might be coming out of the woods.
Ask yourselves what you were doing 2 to 3 weeks ago. That's the main influence on what the figures today look like.
@AngharadHafod yep, watching the data I spent most of the weekend worried it was a calendar blip, weekend effect, and monday numbers start to bear that out, we're still good for capacity in general but certain hospitals overwhelmed, we have ~3,000 new beds we can use - but NYC lockdown was in stages so I'm hoping this steps down relative to each portion of the lockdown 10-14 days out. peak capacity will be in a few days most likely (are you in public health?)
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